The AA prayer would be useful for America to wake up and realise that this is the Asian Century. This is exactly the strategy being used in this region. Instead of using military force to subjugate another society or to defeat an enemy's army, Shih operates to convince an opponent to yield without battle. China is not threatened nor is threatening in rhetoric or action in this region because of the deployment of a unique strategy. Just look at Hainan Island for an indication of the outcome of China in the this region and why the "String of Pearls" and the New Silk Road are being established. Internally America is living a dream that ended yesterday where as China is living a dream that is still yet to be realised. Australia is in the middle of the current rise of China and the fall of America. The pivotal shift that Leon Panetta first mentioned several years ago, now involves Australia as an integral part of the military strategy. Look at the Paracel Islands action of 1974 as an example of the commencement of the modern rise of the P.R.C. The changing global order and the actions by countries such as China will continue as there is no way to administer any of the UNCLOS laws regarding the East or South China Seas. is an attempt to retain some form of economic supremacy, desperate in several ways. Mr Evans is correct because those days where America was the only hegemonic power are indeed over, that ship has sailed for this is no longer a unipolar world. If china has broken international law/s then keep them accountable and prevent impunity from happening. Look at foreign policy post Cold War for failures (there are others prior to this period). The jury however is not out on America's capacity to make the right calls. Mr Evans once again has produced an article that is lucid and enlightening.
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The future of the US-China relationship will depend on how to keep "official rhetoric under control" and whether their leaders would "focus on cooperative diplomatic solutions, playing military cards to the minimum extent possible". Indeed, "inflammatory incidents" could cumulate and exacerbate tensions, if China insisted that, "within the entire 200-mile EEZ extending beyond its territorial waters, no military ship or aircraft has a right to engage in surveillance and intelligence collection", in an effort to keep US military presence in the area at bay. It has recently issued multiple warnings to a US plane flying over it. Yet China had built an early-warning radar station and an airstrip on Fiery Cross reef. Evans believes the US has the right to "fly surveillance aircraft to within 500 meters of such installations". What antagonises the countries in the region is that China aims to claim "a 12-mile territorial sea or a 200-mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ)", and to set up "an air defense identification zone". In general, the reclaiming country can set "a 500-meter “safety zone” around such installations". The Philippines, Vietnam, and Malaysia "have been doing so for years in the Spratly Islands, albeit on a smaller scale". So Evans says, the US shouldn't make a fuss about it. Such constructions are allowed under international law, as long as they are for "peaceful purposes". Thanks to landfilling activities they have become artificial islands and are capable of supporting installations, like airstrips and lighthouses etc.
One of the biggest US concerns is land reclamation on reef formations in the South China Sea that would not otherwise allow China to claim territorial waters, because they are submerged at high tide. But these moves are less of an apprehension than China's ambitions in the East and South China Seas. Beijing sees its exclussion from Obama's pet-project - the Transpacific Partnership trade deal - with serenity, knowing it would unlikely come into being, due to resistance in the US. As a response to - what it sees as - Western centrism, China has raised heckles in the US, by creating the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB) that would rival the IMF and the Japan-led Asian Development Bank. Beijing had in the past insisted on having its Yuan to be the world's 5th reserve currency - of no avail. With economic growth comes self-assertiveness, and China is demanding more say in shaping global affairs.
Gareth Evans is advising the US to embrace the Alcoholics Anonymous (AA) serenity prayer, which would make it easier for Washington to come to terms with China's rise: “God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.” The rise of China is increasingly under scrutiny by its neighbours and the US.
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